Von: Paula Sarigumba mesarigumba(a)up.edu.ph<mailto:email@example.com>
Gesendet: Donnerstag, 29. Juli 2021 19:10
An: div6(a)lists.iufro.org; div9(a)lists.iufro.org
Betreff: Consultation of young professionals in the forest sector [SURVEY]
A global network for young forest professionals is currently under development. As the Inaugural Board works toward launching the Network in May 2022, we would like to seek your input on what would benefit you most in terms of services and structure of the Global Network for Forestry Young Professionals (ForYP).
Share your thoughts by responding to this survey. The survey is available in English<https://www.surveymonkey.ca/r/ForYPsurvey>, Chinese<https://www.surveymonkey.ca/r/ForYPsurveyChinese>, French<https://www.surveymonkey.ca/r/ForYPsurveyFrench>, and Spanish<https://www.surveymonkey.ca/r/ForYPencuesta>. Completing the survey will take approximately 5-10 minutes of your time. All responses received from this survey will be held confidential by the Board and used exclusively to inform our decisions as we build the Network. We will only contact you if you indicate you want us to do so. The survey will be accessible until August 10, 2021.
You can read more about the concept of the ForYP here<https://inpfa.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/FoYP-Inaugural-Board-Informati…>.
Thank you very much for your interest and time. We look forward to hearing your valuable insights.
Maria Paula Sarigumba
Communications and Marketing Director, ForYP
Sven Wunder, David Kaimowitz, Stig Jensen, Sarah Feder
Much uncertainty persists about how the coronavirus (COVID-19) and its derived crisis effects will impact both the economy and forests. Here we conceptualize a recursive model where an initial COVID-19 supply-side shock hits first the Global North that, mediated by country-specific epidemic management strategies and other (fiscal, monetary, trade) policy responses feeds through to financial markets and the real economy. Analytically we distinguish two stylized scenarios: an optimistic V-shaped recovery where effective policy responses render most economic damages transitory, versus a pessimistic pathway of economic depression, where short-run pandemic impacts are dwarfed by the subsequent economic breakdown. Economic impacts are transitioned from the global North to the South through trade, tourism, remittances and investment/capital flows. As for impacts on tropical forests, we compare the effects of past economic crises to early indicators for incipient trends. We find national income and commodity price effects to be torn between three forces: a contractive-inflationary supply-side shock, deflationary pandemic demand-side effects, and expansive-inflationary monetary and fiscal policy responses. We discuss how global forest outcomes will depend on how these macroeconomic battles are resolved, but also on geographical differences in deforestation dynamics. Reviewing recent fire and deforestation alerts data, as well as annual tree-cover loss data, we find that deforestation-curbing and -enhancing factors so far just about neutralized each other. Yet, country impacts vary greatly. Changing macroeconomic scenarios, such as fading out of huge economic stimulus packages, could change the picture significantly, in line with what our model predicts.
The article is freely available for 6 months here: